All dam-safety tools Print with PE stamp box Designed for sealed engineering submittals — print drops PE stamp + signature block at the end.

Dam Breach Peak Discharge Calculator

Earthfill / rockfill dam-breach screening calculator. Computes peak breach outflow Qp and breach geometry from four widely-cited regression methods: Froehlich 1995, Froehlich 2008, MacDonald-Langridge-Monopolis 1984, and Walder & O'Connor 1997. Use the spread to bracket the breach inflow for hazard classification or HEC-RAS / DSS-WISE inundation analysis.

ac-ft
ft
ft
cfs
cfs
cfs
cfs
cfs
ft
hr
— H:V

All Froehlich equations are SI by definition (V_w in m³, h_b/h_w in m, B in m, Q_p in m³/s, t_f in s); inputs are converted automatically. MacDonald and Walder & O'Connor are also SI-original. Side slopes per Froehlich 2008: 1.0H:1V (overtopping) or 0.7H:1V (piping).

$$ Q_p^{F95} = 0.607\,V_w^{0.295}\,h_w^{1.24} \qquad B_{avg} = 0.27\,k_0\,V_w^{0.32}\,h_b^{0.04} $$
$$ t_f = 63.2\,\sqrt{V_w/(g\,h_b^2)} \qquad Q_p^{MD} = 1.175\,(V_w\,h_w)^{0.412} $$
Vw reservoir water volume at breach formation · hw head on breach (water above invert) · hb breach height · k0 overtopping/piping coefficient · g 9.81 m/s².

Method comparison and validity ranges

Empirical breach predictors — calibration databases
MethodN (failures)Soil typeNotes
Froehlich 199522Earthfill mostlyMost-cited Q_peak predictor; conservative for small dams
Froehlich 200874All embankment typesUpdated dataset; gives B_avg and t_f, not Q_peak directly
MacDonald 198442EarthfillTends to underpredict for large dams; based on (V_w·h_w) product
Walder & O'Connor 199718Volcanic landslide damsBest for overtopping with rapid breach
Xu & Zhang 2009182Earthfill, rockfill, w/ coreAdds soil-erodibility and core-type adjustments

FERC Engineering Guidelines for Dam Safety Appendix III recommends running multiple predictors and reporting the range. Wahl (2004) USBR DSO-04-04 is the standard reference for predictor uncertainty: ±0.4 log units (factor of ~2.5×) at 90% confidence.

Worked example

Example — small earthfill dam, overtopping failure

Given: V_w = 2000 ac-ft (2.467×10⁶ m³), h_w = h_b = 40 ft (12.2 m), overtopping (k₀ = 1.30).
Q_p F95 = 0.607·(2.467e6)0.295·12.21.24 = 0.607·90.5·22.9 = 1,256 m³/s = 44,360 cfs
Q_p MD = 1.175·(2.467e6·12.2)0.412 = 1.175·(3.01e7)0.412 = 1.175·1230 = 1,445 m³/s = 51,000 cfs
B_avg = 0.27·1.30·(2.467e6)0.32·12.20.04 = 0.351·121.7·1.115 = 47.6 m = 156 ft
t_f = 63.2·√(2.467e6/(9.81·12.2²)) = 63.2·45.4 = 2870 s = 0.80 hr
Use the spread Q_p ≈ 44,000–51,000 cfs for inundation modeling; report higher value for HH classification screening.

References: Froehlich, D.C. (1995). Peak Outflow from Breached Embankment Dam. ASCE J. Water Res. Planning & Mgmt 121(1). Froehlich, D.C. (2008). Embankment Dam Breach Parameters and Their Uncertainties. ASCE JHE 134(12). MacDonald, T.C. & Langridge-Monopolis, J. (1984). Breaching Characteristics of Dam Failures. ASCE J. Hydraulic Eng. 110(5). Walder, J.S. & O'Connor, J.E. (1997). Methods for Predicting Peak Discharge of Floods Caused by Failure of Natural and Constructed Earthen Dams. Water Res. Research 33(10). Wahl, T.L. (2004). Uncertainty of Predictions of Embankment Dam Breach Parameters. ASCE JHE 130(5).

Related tools

Monthly engineering case studies

One real design problem per month. No tutorials, no fluff.

Free. Privacy.

Engineer of Record — Stamp & Signature
APPLYPE STAMPHERE
Engineer Name
License No.
State
Signature
Date
Project / Sheet
By stamping and signing, the Engineer of Record certifies that the inputs, formulas, and applicability of this calculation have been reviewed for the specific design context. PE-Calc tools provide computational support only — the engineer is responsible for verifying results, applying engineering judgment, and complying with applicable codes and standards.
Calculation generated at pe-calc.com